It has finally happened, after 3250 days of waiting astronauts launched from American soil, docked and entered the ISS on May 31, 2020. The last space shuttle mission launched on July 8, 2011, almost 9 years ago. Our new member, Hank, won the most recent third round of guesses. He missed it by only 2 days with his guess of May 29, 2020.
Our optimism caused us to make three rounds of guesses when American astronauts would launch from US soil. We have been guessing since July of 2011 for the date when astronauts launched from US soil would enter the ISS and retrieve the flag left by the last Space Shuttle crew. Sophia is the winner of the $20 Dairy Queen gift card from the original contest. For our third round, we offered the prize of a NASA pin or patch to whoever comes closest to the actual date. Keith looks link he is channeling Sophia’s strategy by guessing a year later than just about everyone else. These long time spans always make for an interesting display challenge, but I guess that’s why they pay me the big bucks. Here is the information from the latest round of guesses,
Here are the results from the second round of guesses, Sophia’s most pessimistic guess was the hands-down winner but even she didn’t guess that the event would linger this long.
Here is the original spreadsheet containing our guesses when Commercial Crew will launch American astronauts from an American site to the ISS