Once again our optimism, on when commercial crew would launch to the ISS, has made us make a third round of guesses. We have been guessing since July of 2011 for the date when astronauts launched from US soil will enter the ISS and retrieve the flag left by the last Space Shuttle. Sophia is the winner of the $20 Dairy Queen gift card from the original contest and it will be presented as soon as commercial crew astronauts enter the ISS. For our third round, we offer the prize of a NASA pin or patch to whoever comes closest to the date. Keith looks link he is channeling Sophia’s strategy by guessing a year later than just about everyone else. These long time spans always make for an interesting display challenge, but I guess that’s why they pay me the big bucks. Here are the guesses from that latest round of guesses,
Here is the results from the second round of guesses, Sophia’s most pessimistic guess was the hands-down winner but even she didn’t guess that the event would linger this long.
Here is the original spreadsheet containing our guesses when Commercial Crew will launch American astronauts from an American site to the ISS